Establishing a Prediction Modeling System for Ecological Impacts of due to the Expansion of Development(I)
- Author Joo, Yong-Joon
- Researchers Sagong, Hee; Lee, Who-Seung
-
Date
2021-12-31
Ⅰ. Introduction
1. Background of research
ㅇ Factors that affect the environment and ecosystem around us stem from various human activities, including development projects. The expansion of development sites cause affects damage to ecosystem habitats and functions, which in turn affects the human living environment due to the spread of infectious diseases. As such, the expansion of development sites, ecological effects, and infectious diseases are closely related.
2. Purpose of research
ㅇ This study was conducted for three years with the aim of establishing a modeling system to quantitatively predict damage to ecological habitats and ecological functions caused by the expansion of development sites.
ㅇ In the first year, the theoretical review of urban growth-related modeling (CA, ABM) and domestic and foreign cases of model application were analyzed, and a modeling methodology for development site expansion and ecological impact was developed.
Ⅱ. Analysis of the Ecological Impact Prediction Model According to the Expansion of Development Sites
1. Evolution of urban growth model
ㅇ Since urbanization involves changes in land use accompanying social and environmental influences, it is important in policymaking to predict future scenarios through urban growth models that simulate this. In terms of space and time, urban growth models are expanding from macroscopic to microscopic scales and have evolved from static to dynamic simulations.
ㅇ Evolution from macroscopic to microscopic scales enables us to consider the heterogeneity and local interaction at the spatial level, and st
1. Background of research
ㅇ Factors that affect the environment and ecosystem around us stem from various human activities, including development projects. The expansion of development sites cause affects damage to ecosystem habitats and functions, which in turn affects the human living environment due to the spread of infectious diseases. As such, the expansion of development sites, ecological effects, and infectious diseases are closely related.
2. Purpose of research
ㅇ This study was conducted for three years with the aim of establishing a modeling system to quantitatively predict damage to ecological habitats and ecological functions caused by the expansion of development sites.
ㅇ In the first year, the theoretical review of urban growth-related modeling (CA, ABM) and domestic and foreign cases of model application were analyzed, and a modeling methodology for development site expansion and ecological impact was developed.
Ⅱ. Analysis of the Ecological Impact Prediction Model According to the Expansion of Development Sites
1. Evolution of urban growth model
ㅇ Since urbanization involves changes in land use accompanying social and environmental influences, it is important in policymaking to predict future scenarios through urban growth models that simulate this. In terms of space and time, urban growth models are expanding from macroscopic to microscopic scales and have evolved from static to dynamic simulations.
ㅇ Evolution from macroscopic to microscopic scales enables us to consider the heterogeneity and local interaction at the spatial level, and st