본문으로 바로가기 주메뉴 바로가기
Research Reports
Impact assessment of ecosystem influenced by changing global climate and its national management practices Ⅲ(2002)
Climate change has now become more and more evident all over the world; consequently, the world has strived to work out strategies to mitigate the climate change processes and to adapt to the change.
For it has only been a few decades or centuries since climate change triggered by greenhouse gas emissions, the potential impacts by climate change should be assessed in a long term to establish appropriate and effective counter measures.
This study has been conducted for 3 years since year 2000 to suggest a framework approach to an integrated climate change impact assessment model for forest sector for Korea, where no integrated climate change impact model has not yet been developed.
Chapter 2 of this study attempted to review various climate change impact assessment results on forest to predict the national-level and macro-level impacts. The macro- level assessment results show significant impact due to climate change on the Korean peninsula is unlikely; however, the national-level impact on the environment was not able to be predicted due to the dense spatial resolution of the model. Therefore, it is concluded that a regional model at an appropriate spatial resolution is required to assess the climate change impact in Korea.
In chapter 3, the structures and theoretical frameworks of various climate change impact models on forest sector were reviewed. These models were classified into 4 different approach techniques: experiment, analogy, expert opinion, and quantitative modeling. The results show that an integrated impact assessment model based on quantitative mo