Impact assessment of ecosystem influenced by changing global climate and itsnational management practices Ⅱ focusing on the bioclimatic model development of the forest
- Author Jeon, Seongwoo
- Researchers Park, Yongha ; Jung, Huicheul ; Harasawa, Hideo ; Takahashi, Kiyoshi
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Date
2001-12-30
1. Objectives
- To prepare primary data and conduct the modeling of the forest distribution assessment model selected in 2000
-To verify the validity of the modeling results
-To assess the change in economical efficiency of the forest through climate change
2. Results and Policy Proposals
-There is a need for artificial measurements of 16% of the forest until the year 2100, according to the results on forest distribution change in Korea based on the IPCC IS92a scenarios.
-In case that the yearly mean movement growth rate of the forest is below than 0.25km per year, it is estimated that there will be a loss of US$3.5billion annually due to the futility of forest adaptation. North Korea is also to be more affected than the South Korea.
-The establishment of the integrated impact assessment is necessary to fully assess the impact of forest and other ecosystem fields. This includes a correspondence plan at national level and continuous establishment of the basic data
3. Implementation Plan
-To understand the forest distribution change through climate change at a national level
-To estimate the forest distribution change by climate scenarios
4. Strengths of the report
-Research was conducted in collaboration with a Japanese research group who are experts on the international impact assessment model
-The study was conducted with timely propriety and had reliable research
- To prepare primary data and conduct the modeling of the forest distribution assessment model selected in 2000
-To verify the validity of the modeling results
-To assess the change in economical efficiency of the forest through climate change
2. Results and Policy Proposals
-There is a need for artificial measurements of 16% of the forest until the year 2100, according to the results on forest distribution change in Korea based on the IPCC IS92a scenarios.
-In case that the yearly mean movement growth rate of the forest is below than 0.25km per year, it is estimated that there will be a loss of US$3.5billion annually due to the futility of forest adaptation. North Korea is also to be more affected than the South Korea.
-The establishment of the integrated impact assessment is necessary to fully assess the impact of forest and other ecosystem fields. This includes a correspondence plan at national level and continuous establishment of the basic data
3. Implementation Plan
-To understand the forest distribution change through climate change at a national level
-To estimate the forest distribution change by climate scenarios
4. Strengths of the report
-Research was conducted in collaboration with a Japanese research group who are experts on the international impact assessment model
-The study was conducted with timely propriety and had reliable research