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Research Reports
Assessment and application of carrying capacity for the sustainability policy
Ⅰ. Background and Aims of Research
1. Background
o A crisis of environmental sustainability due to the population growth and improved standard of living
ㅇThe world population is projected to reach over 9 billion by 2050 according to the United Nations World Population Prospects 2019.
ㅇ From the perspective of the water-energy-food nexus, 3.9 billion people will be under severe water stress in 2030 (OECD Environmental Outlook), energy demand is set to grow by more than 25% by 2040 (World Energy Outlook 2018), and 653 million people will still be undernourished in 2030 (FAO Food consumption projections).

o Adverse impacts of economic development on carrying capacity
ㅇ Circulation of material and energy at the global, national, and local scales is essential to the sustainable development of economy and society.
ㅇ The US subprime mortgage crisis in 2008, the oil shock in 1970s, and the current adverse impacts of climate change were triggered by not taking into account the real economy and the carrying capacity, which will eventually threaten the sustainability of society, economy, and environment.
ㅇ We need to discuss how to manage the society within the carrying capacity now that the COVID-19 is having adverse impacts on the world economy which is highly dependent on trade.

o The necessity of using the concept of carrying capacity and improving the assessment framework for sustainability policies
ㅇ Although the concept of carrying capacity is defined in the Framework Act on Environmental Policy, application is rare in practice.
ㅇ It is necessary to use philosophies and poli